Scoring Trends by Play Type

Four seasons · year-over-year

Pa = passing TDs, Ru = rushing TDs, DS = defense / special-teams TDs, XP/2 = extra points / 2-pt conversions, Oth = safeties & misc. Click a year header (▾ / ▸) to expand or collapse its play-type breakdown — up to three years expanded on desktop, one on mobile. Cells are shaded against the previous season: green grew, red declined, deeper color = bigger swing; hover any cell for the exact change. The Points / Units toggle switches between point values and raw counts (Tot and Oth always show points). Sorting ranks teams by the season chosen in the Year picker.

Four years of NFL scoring, and what it means for your 2026 draft

This dataset tracks where every NFL team's points came from across the last four regular seasons — every touchdown type, every made field goal, every conversion. Most fantasy analysis starts with players; this starts one level up, with the shape of each offense's scoring. A few patterns stand out heading into 2026 drafts.

Some teams barely kick field goals

Field-goal reliance is the closest thing kicker streaming has to a cheat code, and the league's spread is enormous. In 2025, Houston made 48 field goals — nearly 36% of all their points — while Buffalo made just 19 and the Rams leaned on the league's most touchdown-pure offense. A Texans or Chargers kicker eats regardless of how the offense plays; a Bills or Rams kicker needs touchdowns to matter, which is exactly backwards for fantasy.

The play-calling turned over — historically

Ten teams changed head coaches for 2026, tying the most in any single offseason, and several more lost their offensive play-caller. That matters here because scheme change scrambles trend lines: Seattle won the Super Bowl and immediately lost play-caller Klint Kubiak to Las Vegas; Kansas City lost OC Matt Nagy to the Giants. Treat every three-year trend for these teams with a discount.

Key departures

Several scoring profiles below lost the player who drove them. Philadelphia traded A.J. Brown to New England after a turbulent 2025; Miami cut Tua Tagovailoa; Arizona released Kyler Murray mid-contract; and Seattle watched Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III sign with Kansas City. Where a team's pass- or rush-TD column was carried by one name, the shading tells you how much is now up for grabs.

Key arrivals

The flip side: New England adds A.J. Brown to an offense that just broke out for 490 points; Kansas City pairs Walker with an offense that badly needed touchdown juice; Atlanta hands Tua a fresh start under Kevin Stefanski; Minnesota gets Kyler Murray at the veteran minimum to push J.J. McCarthy; and the Jets turn to Geno Smith. These are the cells most likely to run green in next year's table.

Projected regression: the boring math that keeps being right

A weighted average of each team's four-year scoring counts — each season counting half as much as the one after it — makes a surprisingly sturdy naive projection. Teams that scored far above their own multi-year norm in 2025 tend to fall back toward it; teams far below tend to bounce. The table shows the biggest projected movers in each direction. One caveat: this math is roster-blind, so cross-reference it with the coaching and player sections above. When the numbers and the offseason point the same way — a spike team that also lost its play-caller, say — that's the strongest signal on this page.

Flip to the Data tab to explore all four seasons yourself — click any year header to expand its full play-type breakdown, and sort by any scoring source to see who really drives it.